GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/11/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RB Bragantino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Racing Club are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while RB Bragantino are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and RB Bragantino hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while RB Bragantino holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RB Bragantino

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

RB Bragantino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing ClubWWLDD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
RB BragantinoWDLDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Racing ClubRB Bragantino
61.1Attack48.1
50.0Defence77.8
44.4Form51.9
53.1Power58.0
0.91xG1.27
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