Racing Clubvs
Independiente
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/18/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Racing Club 0-0 Independiente, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Club 1-1 Independiente
Original prediction
Racing Club
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 42.8% | 36.6% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 30.5% | 29.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 26.7% | 33.5% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Projected Score
Racing Club 0–0 Independiente
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Racing Club
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Racing Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20