GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/20/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Club · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Racing Club are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Huachipato are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Club hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 26.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Racing Club holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Club

Probability

59.3%

Model confidence

59.3%

Racing Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing ClubWWLDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
HuachipatoWLDLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Racing ClubHuachipato
61.1Attack33.3
50.0Defence8.3
44.4Form25.0
53.1Power26.1
2.09xG0.97
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