GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 11/23/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Racing Club are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Cruzeiro are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cruzeiro hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing ClubWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CruzeiroLWLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Racing ClubCruzeiro
61.1Attack41.0
50.0Defence74.4
44.4Form59.0
53.1Power60.0
0.87xG1.10
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