GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 11/1/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Racing Club are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Corinthians are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing ClubLDWLD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CorinthiansWDDWD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Racing ClubCorinthians
61.1Attack29.2
50.0Defence75.0
44.4Form58.3
53.1Power57.3
0.99xG0.86
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