Racing Clubvs
Corinthians
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 11/1/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Racing Club are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Corinthians are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20