GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/16/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Racing Club are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Coquimbo Unido are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Club hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Racing Club holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Club

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Racing Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing ClubDLLWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Coquimbo UnidoDWWLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Racing ClubCoquimbo Unido
61.1Attack23.8
50.0Defence66.7
44.4Form38.1
53.1Power44.9
1.31xG0.78
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