GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botafogo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Racing Club are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Botafogo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Botafogo hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Botafogo holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Botafogo

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Botafogo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing ClubLWLWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BotafogoDDWWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Racing ClubBotafogo
61.1Attack76.2
50.0Defence47.6
44.4Form76.2
53.1Power66.3
1.66xG1.77
View match centre →