GGOALVIO

Argentina · Copa Argentina · 9/27/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Racing Club 2-3 Boca Juniors

Original prediction

Racing Club

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.4520.9%37.4%16.5 pts
Draw3.1629.4%28.8%-0.5 pts
Away1.8749.8%33.8%-15.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

16.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Racing Club

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Racing Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Racing ClubWLLLD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Boca JuniorsWDWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Racing ClubBoca Juniors
66.7Attack44.4
88.9Defence100.0
100.0Form77.8
87.0Power75.3
1.33xG0.91
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