Racing Club Res.vs
San Lorenzo Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing Club Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Club Res. 2-3 San Lorenzo Res.
Original prediction
Racing Club Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.0% | 43.2% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.7% | 27.7% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.3% | 29.1% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Racing Club Res.
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Racing Club Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40