Racing Club Res.vs
River Plate Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
River Plate Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Racing Club Res. 2-2 River Plate Res.
Original prediction
River Plate Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 32.2% | 31.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.4% | 30.0% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.4% | 38.1% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
River Plate Res.
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
River Plate Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80