RAAL La Louvièrevs
Liège
COMPLETEDBelgium · Cup · 10/17/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RAAL La Louvière · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RAAL La Louvière 4-0 Liège
Original prediction
RAAL La Louvière
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 14:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 56.0% | 39.1% | -16.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.5% | 25.9% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.46 | 20.5% | 35.0% | 14.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
RAAL La Louvière
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
RAAL La Louvière has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 12 · GA 15 · avg 2.40/3.00