GGOALVIO

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RAAL La Louvière · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

RAAL La Louvière 2-2 KV Mechelen

Original prediction

RAAL La Louvière

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3639.4%39.9%0.5 pts
Draw3.1329.8%27.3%-2.5 pts
Away3.0230.9%32.9%2.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

RAAL La Louvière

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

RAAL La Louvière has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RAAL La LouvièreLLLDD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KV MechelenLDLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
RAAL La LouvièreKV Mechelen
22.2Attack33.3
33.3Defence22.2
0.0Form11.1
22.9Power26.4
1.58xG1.37
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