Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:12
RAAL La Louvière

RAAL La Louvière

Home
W
31
Full time
Excelsior Virton

Excelsior Virton

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Excelsior Virton33%
RAAL La Louvière33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: RAAL La Louvière
Win probability
RAAL La Louvière
33%
Draw
33%
Excelsior Virton
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
RAAL La Louvière
94
Excelsior Virton
34
Defence
RAAL La Louvière
66
Excelsior Virton
6
Momentum
RAAL La Louvière
100
Excelsior Virton
0
Danger (xG)
RAAL La Louvière
2.70
Excelsior Virton
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.49 xG for RAAL La Louvière and 1.21 xG for Excelsior Virton — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.28), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.71 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (RAAL La Louvière)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Excelsior Virton)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (RAAL La Louvière)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Excelsior Virton)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière
W
Excelsior VirtonExcelsior Virton
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
RAAL La Louvière33%
Draw33%
Excelsior Virton33%

Excelsior Virton leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

RAAL La Louvière Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

RAAL La Louvière take on Excelsior Virton in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

RAAL La Louvière 1Draws 00 Excelsior Virton
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
RAAL La Louvière
W31
Excelsior Virton

Recent form

RAAL La Louvière

RAAL La Louvière

W
vs Excelsior Virton
15 Jul 2026
31
Excelsior Virton

Excelsior Virton

L
@ RAAL La Louvière
15 Jul 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win RAAL La Louvière vs Excelsior Virton?

GoalVio's model predicts RAAL La Louvière to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for RAAL La Louvière vs Excelsior Virton?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in RAAL La Louvière vs Excelsior Virton?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in RAAL La Louvière vs Excelsior Virton?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more