Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rača · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rača are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Častkovce are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Rača hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.5% in the 3. liga - West, while Rača holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rača
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Rača has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00