Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šamorín · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rača 1-2 Šamorín
Original prediction
Šamorín
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.77 | 11.5% | 35.8% | 24.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.91 | 18.3% | 23.7% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 1.28 | 70.2% | 40.4% | -29.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Šamorín
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Šamorín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RačaWLLWD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ŠamorínWWWWL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RačaŠamorín
100.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
97.0Power80.3
2.25xG1.61