GGOALVIO

Norway · Toppserien · 9/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vålerenga W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-3 (11%), 0-2 (10%), 1-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Røa W 3-6 Vålerenga W

Original prediction

Vålerenga W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home9.329.7%7.3%-2.4 pts
Draw5.7315.8%12.2%-3.6 pts
Away1.2274.5%80.5%6.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–311%
  2. 2.0–210%
  3. 3.1–39%

Predicted outcome

Vålerenga W

Probability

80.5%

Model confidence

80.5%

Vålerenga W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Røa WLLDWD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Vålerenga WWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Røa WVålerenga W
28.6Attack78.6
33.3Defence52.4
23.8Form59.5
31.4Power61.6
0.81xG3.17
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