Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyn W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-3 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Røa W 1-3 Lyn W
Original prediction
Lyn W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.58 | 25.2% | 14.2% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 19.3% | -6.5 pts |
| Away | 1.84 | 49.0% | 66.5% | 17.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–310%
Predicted outcome
Lyn W
Probability
66.5%
Model confidence
66.5%
Lyn W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Røa WLDWDL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Lyn WLLLDW
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Røa WLyn W
28.2Attack59.0
35.9Defence59.0
25.6Form41.0
32.6Power50.0
0.72xG2.19