Žďár nad Sázavouvs
Chotebor
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie D · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Žďár nad Sázavou · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Žďár nad Sázavou 0-2 Chotebor
Original prediction
Žďár nad Sázavou
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.5% | 59.4% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.94 | 18.3% | 20.4% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.05 | 22.3% | 20.2% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Žďár nad Sázavou
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Žďár nad Sázavou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 20 · avg 0.80/4.00