Quornvs
Workington
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Workington · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Quorn 3-0 Workington
Original prediction
Workington
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.5% | 26.7% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.0% | 21.6% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.5% | 51.6% | 12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–37%
Predicted outcome
Workington
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Workington has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20