Quornvs
Leamington
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Trophy · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quorn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Quorn 4-2 Leamington
Original prediction
Quorn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.2% | 47.5% | 9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.0% | 24.7% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 35.8% | 27.8% | -8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Quorn
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Quorn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QuornLLWWL
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LeamingtonLDLWW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
QuornLeamington
100.0Attack33.3
41.7Defence33.3
75.0Form0.0
71.1Power23.7
2.60xG1.32