Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Bury
Probability
67.6%
Model confidence
67.6%
Bury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QuornWWLDD
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BuryLWLWL
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
QuornBury
45.8Attack62.5
20.8Defence66.7
25.0Form54.2
32.7Power59.0
1.03xG2.62