Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Quintana 0-0 Castuera, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Quintana 1-1 Castuera
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Projected Score
Quintana 0–0 Castuera
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
34.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QuintanaLDWDL
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CastueraLWWWL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
QuintanaCastuera
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
0.83xG0.89