Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quindio · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Quindio 0-0 Tigres FC, with an exact score probability of 35%.
Prediction record
Final result
Quindio 2-0 Tigres FC
Original prediction
Quindio
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.2% | 41.0% | -16.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.4% | 34.3% | 7.9 pts |
| Away | 5.54 | 16.4% | 24.7% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.2 pts
Projected Score
Quindio 0–0 Tigres FC
Exact score probability: 35%
Predicted outcome
Quindio
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Quindio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QuindioWDLWW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Tigres FCDDDWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
QuindioTigres FC
34.3Attack33.3
75.2Defence72.4
58.1Form45.7
58.3Power52.1
0.62xG0.44