GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quindio · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Quindio 1-0 Real Santander, with an exact score probability of 22%.

Prediction record

Final result

Quindio 0-0 Real Santander

Original prediction

Quindio

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4961.2%65.0%3.8 pts
Draw3.8323.8%24.1%0.3 pts
Away6.0915.0%10.8%-4.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.8 pts

Projected Score

Quindio 1–0 Real Santander

Exact score probability: 22%

Predicted outcome

Quindio

Probability

65.0%

Model confidence

65.0%

Quindio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

QuindioDWWDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Real SantanderWWDDD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
QuindioReal Santander
37.2Attack31.7
79.5Defence44.4
62.8Form25.4
62.3Power36.6
1.44xG0.39
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