Quindiovs
Real Cartagena
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 10/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Quindio 0-0 Real Cartagena, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Quindio 1-1 Real Cartagena
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.8% | 36.2% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.5% | 32.1% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.78 | 32.7% | 31.6% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.08 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
Quindio 0–0 Real Cartagena
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
36.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QuindioLWWLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real CartagenaDLDDL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
QuindioReal Cartagena
34.3Attack50.5
74.7Defence61.0
57.6Form53.3
57.9Power55.5
0.87xG0.69