Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quindio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Quindio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Orsomarso are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Quindio hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (60.4 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 32.5% in the Primera B, while Quindio holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Quindio
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
32.5%
Quindio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20