Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Llaneros · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Quindio 1-1 Llaneros
Original prediction
Llaneros
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.9% | 31.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 32.8% | 29.5% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 35.3% | 39.3% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Llaneros
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Llaneros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QuindioWWDDW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
LlanerosLLWDW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
QuindioLlaneros
50.0Attack58.3
50.0Defence83.3
50.0Form75.0
53.0Power72.5
1.05xG1.37