Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quindio · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Quindio 0-0 Bogota FC, with an exact score probability of 33%.
Prediction record
Final result
Quindio 1-0 Bogota FC
Original prediction
Quindio
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.6% | 41.5% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.1% | 33.3% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 4.25 | 21.3% | 25.2% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Projected Score
Quindio 0–0 Bogota FC
Exact score probability: 33%
Predicted outcome
Quindio
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Quindio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QuindioLLDDD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bogota FCWDLLW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
QuindioBogota FC
34.4Attack27.8
76.7Defence65.6
56.7Form41.1
58.3Power47.6
0.79xG0.35