Quilmesvs
Tristan Suarez
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 5/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Quilmes are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tristan Suarez are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40