Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Quilmes 0-0 Temperley, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Quilmes 0-1 Temperley
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 47.3% | 36.2% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.7% | 35.4% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 4.18 | 21.9% | 28.4% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Projected Score
Quilmes 0–0 Temperley
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
36.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QuilmesLWDWD
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TemperleyWWLLW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
QuilmesTemperley
34.6Attack37.2
71.8Defence71.8
41.0Form55.1
50.2Power56.3
0.62xG0.59