Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Quilmes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Temperley are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Temperley hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 32.0% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
32.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80