Quilmesvs
San Martin Tucuman
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/24/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Quilmes 0-0 San Martin Tucuman, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Quilmes 2-1 San Martin Tucuman
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 45.5% | 36.6% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.5% | 34.8% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 3.67 | 25.0% | 28.6% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Projected Score
Quilmes 0–0 San Martin Tucuman
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
36.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QuilmesLLDWL
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
San Martin TucumanWLWDL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
QuilmesSan Martin Tucuman
29.4Attack37.3
71.6Defence65.7
38.2Form45.1
47.7Power51.1
0.65xG0.59