Quilmesvs
San Martin S.J.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Quilmes 0-0 San Martin S.J., with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Quilmes 1-0 San Martin S.J.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 45.7% | 36.4% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 31.0% | 34.8% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.96 | 23.3% | 28.8% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
Quilmes 0–0 San Martin S.J.
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QuilmesLLLWD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
San Martin S.J.WWWWD
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
QuilmesSan Martin S.J.
32.1Attack38.3
71.4Defence67.9
38.1Form50.6
48.4Power54.7
0.66xG0.62