GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Quilmes are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Deportivo Maipu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.6 against 51.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

QuilmesWLWLD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MaipuLLLDW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
QuilmesDeportivo Maipu
33.3Attack43.1
70.8Defence63.9
40.3Form44.4
49.6Power51.4
0.78xG0.70
View match centre →