Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Quilmes

Quilmes

Home
LW
01
Full time
Colegiales

Colegiales

Away
LL
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Quilmes(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Quilmes
41%
Draw
27%
Colegiales
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Quilmes
34
Colegiales
18
Defence
Quilmes
66
Colegiales
46
Momentum
Quilmes
50
Colegiales
0
Danger (xG)
Quilmes
0.90
Colegiales
0.45
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Quilmes)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Colegiales)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Quilmes)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Colegiales)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
QuilmesQuilmes
LW
ColegialesColegiales
LLD

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Quilmes41%
Draw27%
Colegiales32%

Quilmes leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Quilmes head into this in Primera Nacional fixture at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes in mixed form (LW), while Colegiales arrive in mixed form (LL). Quilmes have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Colegiales over 2 games.

The model rates Quilmes's attack at 34/100 against a 46/100 Colegiales defence, and Colegiales's attack at 18/100 against a 66/100 Quilmes backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Quilmes have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Colegiales have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Quilmes and Colegiales in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Quilmes to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Quilmes 4086%, Draw 2740%, Colegiales 3174%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Quilmes

Quilmes

L
@ Midland
12 Jul 2026
01
W
vs Atlanta
4 Jul 2026
21
Colegiales

Colegiales

L
@ Atlanta
14 Jul 2026
01
L
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
4 Jul 2026
12
D
vs Club Atlético Güemes
16 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Quilmes vs Colegiales?

GoalVio's model predicts Quilmes to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs Colegiales?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Quilmes vs Colegiales?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Quilmes vs Colegiales?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more