Quilmesvs
Agropecuario
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quilmes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Quilmes 0-0 Agropecuario, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Quilmes 0-1 Agropecuario
Original prediction
Quilmes
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.7% | 45.2% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.7% | 35.2% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 4.68 | 19.6% | 19.6% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Projected Score
Quilmes 0–0 Agropecuario
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Quilmes
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Quilmes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QuilmesDWLWL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
AgropecuarioDLWLW
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
QuilmesAgropecuario
31.3Attack27.1
71.9Defence63.5
40.6Form38.5
49.1Power45.1
0.75xG0.42