GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 8/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Quilmes 2 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independiente Res. are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.8% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Res.

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

18.8%

Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Quilmes 2DDWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente Res.WWWLW

GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Quilmes 2Independiente Res.
36.5Attack77.3
77.8Defence68.2
60.3Form68.2
59.6Power68.5
0.73xG1.02
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