GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quilmes 2 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Quilmes 2 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Colón Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Quilmes 2 hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 40.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.1% in the Reserve League, while Quilmes 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quilmes 2

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

25.1%

Quilmes 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Quilmes 2DWWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Colón Res.DLWLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Quilmes 2Colón Res.
36.4Attack27.3
78.8Defence56.1
62.1Form30.3
60.6Power40.3
1.09xG0.34
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