Quilmes 2vs
Boca Juniors Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 4/1/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Quilmes 2 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Boca Juniors Res. are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Boca Juniors Res. hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.8% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
26.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40