GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 3/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quilmes 2 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Quilmes 2 are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWDW), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.25 conceded, while Atl. Rafaela 2 are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Quilmes 2 hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 35.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.6% in the Reserve League, while Quilmes 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quilmes 2

Probability

63.4%

Model confidence

19.6%

Quilmes 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Quilmes 2LWDW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.25

BTTS 0/4O2.5 0/4
Atl. Rafaela 2WLWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Quilmes 2Atl. Rafaela 2
36.4Attack37.9
78.8Defence37.9
62.1Form25.8
60.6Power35.5
1.57xG0.47
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