Quilmes 2vs
Atl. Rafaela 2
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 3/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quilmes 2 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Quilmes 2 are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWDW), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.25 conceded, while Atl. Rafaela 2 are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Quilmes 2 hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 35.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.6% in the Reserve League, while Quilmes 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Quilmes 2
Probability
63.4%
Model confidence
19.6%
Quilmes 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.25
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.50