Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Quevilly 0-0 Orleans, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Quevilly 3-2 Orleans
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.2% | 37.8% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.6% | 32.1% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.2% | 30.1% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Projected Score
Quevilly 0–0 Orleans
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
37.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QuevillyLDDWD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
OrleansDDLLD
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
QuevillyOrleans
29.6Attack25.9
55.6Defence59.3
37.0Form33.3
43.6Power41.1
0.83xG0.67