Quevillyvs
Le Puy Foot
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 9/12/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Le Puy Foot · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Quevilly 0-0 Le Puy Foot, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Quevilly 2-1 Le Puy Foot
Original prediction
Le Puy Foot
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 33.4% | 32.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.5% | 30.8% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 37.1% | 37.2% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Projected Score
Quevilly 0–0 Le Puy Foot
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Le Puy Foot
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Le Puy Foot has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QuevillyDWLDL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Le Puy FootDLWLW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
QuevillyLe Puy Foot
26.7Attack26.7
53.3Defence73.3
33.3Form46.7
40.6Power50.8
0.80xG0.93