Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fleury 91 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Quevilly 2-1 Fleury 91
Original prediction
Fleury 91
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.2% | 34.2% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.8% | 29.8% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 36.0% | 36.0% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Fleury 91
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Fleury 91 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QuevillyLDLWD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Fleury 91LDDLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
QuevillyFleury 91
11.1Attack11.1
44.4Defence66.7
11.1Form22.2
25.8Power36.4
1.01xG1.06