Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amiens · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Quevilly 0-0 Amiens, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Quevilly 1-1 Amiens
Original prediction
Amiens
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.56 | 25.5% | 29.0% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.4% | 31.8% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 46.1% | 39.2% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.20 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Projected Score
Quevilly 0–0 Amiens
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Amiens
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Amiens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
QuevillyDWDWL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AmiensWDWWL
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
QuevillyAmiens
28.6Attack38.1
61.9Defence90.5
42.9Form52.4
47.2Power59.8
0.64xG0.91