Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quevilly · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Quevilly are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ajaccio are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.7 against 45.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Ligue 2, while Quevilly holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Quevilly
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Quevilly has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40