Querétaro Wvs
Monterrey W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monterrey W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Querétaro W 0-4 Monterrey W
Original prediction
Monterrey W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12.87 | 7.1% | 17.8% | 10.7 pts |
| Draw | 6.98 | 13.1% | 18.9% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 1.14 | 79.8% | 63.3% | -16.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Monterrey W
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Monterrey W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80