Querétaro Wvs
Cruz Azul W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cruz Azul W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Querétaro W 0-2 Cruz Azul W
Original prediction
Cruz Azul W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.26 | 14.5% | 31.9% | 17.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.89 | 18.6% | 22.3% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.36 | 66.9% | 45.8% | -21.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Cruz Azul W
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Cruz Azul W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20