GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 7/25/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Queretaro U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Queretaro U21 are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while UNAM Pumas U21 are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Queretaro U21 hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Liga MX U21, while Queretaro U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Queretaro U21

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Queretaro U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Queretaro U21DL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
UNAM Pumas U21LW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Queretaro U21UNAM Pumas U21
44.4Attack22.2
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form22.2
45.9Power40.2
1.19xG0.84
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