Queretaro U21vs
Toluca U21
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 8/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Queretaro U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Toluca U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and toluca U21 hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga MX U21, favouring Toluca U21 with 14.7% confidence, a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca U21
Probability
34.5%
Model confidence
14.7%
Toluca U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20