Queretaro U21vs
Club Leon U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/20/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Leon U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Queretaro U21 0-2 Club Leon U21
Original prediction
Club Leon U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 02:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.11 | 29.0% | 21.4% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.8% | 24.7% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.1% | 53.9% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.0–212%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Club Leon U21
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Club Leon U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20