Queretaro U21vs
Atlante U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlante U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Queretaro U21 2-3 Atlante U21
Original prediction
Atlante U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 21:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.3% | 36.0% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.3% | 26.5% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.4% | 37.4% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Atlante U21
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Atlante U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00